Thursday, July 29, 2010

Quantifiable Uncertainty

She might as well have been shaking her head in open defiance of the general consensus. Her eyes told her story instead and he could not ignore her misgivings.

"Consider then, the gradient from probable to the purely emergent. Probable would need to be qualified  and purely emergent may be more of a pole. The most interesting part in our context is whether a simple mathematical description could accurately describe the spectrum.

"This afternoon, in all likelihood, we will start mining the static history for what we currently believe is relevant.", he concluded his summary.

She was still a bit uneasy about the methodology but was unable to articulate why.  He often deferred to her intuition with good results.  But what if he were to allow the test to proceed this time behind the independence cloak. Her reaction to such a tactic, once disclosed, could serve to illustrate the value in better serial understanding of this implicit rationale. It was a risk though.  The last time he tried this, his hunch was driven more by the illusion of his executive (ego), than was prudent. Recovering diverted them for awhile.

If a separate value system was to be implemented in parallel, the membrane between them would need to be intelligent and dynamic. A handle existed that he wasn't satisfied with. Most of the others did not have an opinion yet. She had expressed something non-verbally that was "not ready for prime time".

The patterns matched, their output classes did not … yet. "So, what if we were to consider the non-pole solution, describing a beneficial outcome in terms of the interaction of competing entities … and do so dynamically and in near real-time?" 

He looked up to see 'who' was speaking, but too late.

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